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The 2007 Emmy Nominations were recently announced and while the show is still a couple months away it is never too soon to make some early predictions. Guessing the winners at awards shows is one of my favorite things to do. I did a detailed post about my Oscar picks for this year’s Academy Awards in which I did a slightly above average job at picking the winners. I’ll stick to the major categories for now, excluding Miniseries or Movie, but when the show starts to approach I will give you my selection for every category. For now I’ll post the nominations with my pick in bold and a short explanation. Let’s start.

Writing Categories

Outstanding Writing for a Variety, Music, or Comedy Program
The Colbert Report (various)
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart (various)
Late Night with Conan O’Brien (various)
Late Show with David Letterman (various)
Real Time with Bill Maher (various)

This is a pretty stacked category, I think anyone could walk away with this award and it wouldn’t be a surprise. I still give the edge to Conan though, the Daily Show won this award last year so I think this could be the year for Conan and his staff to walk away with the award. Watch out for The Colbert Report as a sleeper.

Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series
Battlestar Galactica – “Occupation/Precipice” (Ronald D. Moore)
Lost – “Through the Looking Glass” (Damon Lindelof, Carlton Cuse)
The Sopranos – “Kennedy and Heidi” (Matthiew Weiner, David Chase)
The Sopranos – “The Second Coming” (Terence Winter)
The Sopranos – “Made In America” (David Chase)

The final hour of the 86 hour drama about the Sopranos crime family has already become iconic. In the days following it’s airing there was nothing else to be talked about. It was all over the papers, TV, and the radio. It kept people talking. The brilliance of Chase shone through in this episode’s climactic scene as he built great amounts of tension out of nothing. Don’t be surprised if the Lost season finale walks away with this award, my fellow blogger Tom said it was amazing, but I’d give “Made In America” a slight edge.

Outstanding Writing for a Comedy Series
Extras – “Daniel Radcliffe” (Ricky Gervais, Stephen Merchant)
The Office – “Gay Witch Hunt” (Greg Daniels)
The Office – “The Negotiation” (Michael Schur)
30 Rock – “Tracy Does Conan” (Tina Fey)
30 Rock – “Jack-Tor” (Robert Carlock)

At first glance I immediately would have chosen “Gay Witch Hunt” but once I realized which episode of Extras was nominated I had to give it the award. This one episode of Extras was one of the funniest half hours of comedy that I have ever seen. Ricky Gervais has achieved the status of comic genius and he really showed us why with this episode.

Acting Categories

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
Rachel Griffiths, Brothers and Sisters
Katherine Heigl, Grey’s Anatomy
Chandra Wilson, Grey’s Anatomy
Sandra Oh, Grey’s Anatomy
Aida Turturro, The Sopranos
Lorraine Bracco, The Sopranos

Blythe Danner won this award last year for her work on the show Weeds. This year she’s not on the ballot meaning a new winner will be choses. I don’t think either Sopranos nominee has a chance to win the award. I choose Katherine Heigl to win. Of the few episodes I’ve seen she is very good. This a complete guess.

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
Jaime Pressly, My Name is Earl
Jenna Fischer, The Office
Holland Taylor, Evelyn Harper
Conchata Ferrell, Two and a Half Men
Vanessa Williams, Ugly Betty
Elizabeth Perkins, Weeds

Pressly didn’t get this award last year and I think it is owed to her. Her portrayal of Joy, Earl’s ex-wife, is one of the strong parts of a show that I just really don’t think is that funny. (The Emmy judges loved this show last year as it swept every single award of the entire show.) Jenna Fischer from the Office has a real shot but look for Pressly to take the honor.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
William Shatner, Boston Leagal
TR Knight, Grey’s Anatomy
Masi Oka, heroes
Michael Emerson, Lost
Terry O’Quinn, Lost
Michael Imperioli, The Sopranos

In the final half of its final season the Sopranos regained what everyone thought it had lost and a major part of the reason why was the acting. Michael Imperioli has been a strength of the show since it debuted and it’s final season I believe he deserves to walk off into the sunset with an Emmy in hand.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
Kevin Dillon Entourage
Jeremy Piven Entourage
Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother
Rainn Wilson The Office
Jon Cryer Two and a Half Men

Piven walked away with this award last year and I expect him to do the same again. His character of Ari Gold is one of the best on television today and maybe ever. There’s really not much more to say, his Entourage counterpart may have a chance at winning but I think it will be a repeat performance for Piven.

Outstanding Individual Performance in a Variety or Music Program
Ellen Degeneres, 79 Annual Academy Awards (host)
Stephen Colbert, The Colbert Report (host)
Jon Stewart, The Daily Show with Jon Stewart (host)
David Letterman, Late Show with David Letterman (host)
Tony Bennett, Tony Bennett: An American Classic (performer)

Barry Manilow should probably win this award again but since he wasn’t nominated I’d say Jon Stewart will take it home this year. The Daily Show has consistently been a good show and Stewart is the heart of it all. His former co-worker Stephen Colbert will give his ol buddy a run at the prize but Stewart will take this one.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
Felicity Huffman, Desperate Houswives
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, The New Adventures of Old Christine
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
America Ferrara, Ugly Betty
Mary-Louise Parker, Weeds

Julia Louis-Dreyfus surprised everyone with her victory in this category last year but I just don’t see it happening again. Tina Fey is great on 30 Rock which I view occasionally and find myself laughing every time. Her quality performances give her the edge in my eyes.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series
Sally Field, Brothers and Sisters
Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer
Mariska Hargitay, Lay & Order: SVU
Patricia Arquette, Medium
Minnie Driver, The Riches
Edie Falco, The Sopranos

I find it hard to believe that Edie Falco doesn’t win this award. In it’s last season the voters will probably make this night a Sopranos tribute, but I believe it would be well deserved. Throughout the duration of the show Falco has always put her all into every performance and it has showed. She probably should have won every time she was nominated. She won’t lose on this night.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Ricky Gervais, Extras
Tony Shaloub, Monk
Steve Carell, The Office
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Charlie Sheen, Two and a Half men

In what can only be described as a crime Tony Shaloub somehow worked his way out of a powerhouse list of nominees in this category last year to walk away with the trophy. Steve Carell was already robbed once and it shouldn’t happen again. He carries the best comedy on TV on his shoulders and should be rewarded for it.

Outstanding Lead Actor on a Drama Series
James Spader, Boston legal
Hugh Laurie, House
Denis Leary, Rescue Me
James Gandolfini, The Sopranos
Kiefer Sutherland, 24

If Gandolfini doesn’t win this trophy than you may see me cry. The character of Tony Soprano has become and iconic, legendary figure with society. Rutgers alum Gandolfini has taken the character of Tony Soprano and whenever he stepped in front of a camera he became that character. I may have never seen or will ever see better acting in a TV show than what James Gandolfini achieved in the Sopranos run. He deserves this award, he needs this award.

Series Categories

Outstanding Variety, Music, or Comedy Series
The Colbert Report
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
Late Night with Conan O’Brien
Late Show with David Letterman
Real Time with Bill Maher

I know it’s my favorite and I believe it to be the best on the list. A lot of people will watch any one of the nominees in this category based on who the guest is that night. I watch Conan to see Conan and that’s why I believe that this show should win. But in reality I think the Daily Show will probably win once again.

Outstanding Comedy Series
Entourage
The Office
30 Rock
Two and a Half Men
Ugly Betty

Look for back to back wins for The Office. It is still the best comedy on TV and that’s what this award is all about isn’t it? Entourage is good, 30 Rock is good, but The Office overshadows all of them. A perfect cast and a great team writers combines for what will go down as a legendary show.

Outstanding Drama Series

Boston Legal
Grey’s Anatomy
Heroes
House
The Sopranos

The tribute to The Sopranos ends on a high note when it walks away with Best Drama Series for the last time. I think Chase deserves this because he returned from a lackluster first half of the season to deliver 9 classic final episodes. Heroes could also be looked at as a possible winner but I just don’t see anything beating the Sopranos in its last night to be honored.

Well those are my picks. They will probably be all wrong but it’s not about that, it’s about having a good time. ;)

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